Austin–Round Rock–Georgetown MSA
Illustrative seedTexas / South·Destination dashboard
Tech + leisure + SXSW/ACL event spikes. Downtown vs Domain vs airport; supply absorption key. City HOT tax collections are a room-revenue proxy — not RevPAR/OCC/ADR.
Metrics and signals below are illustrative Capital Graph placeholders for IC-memo drafting — replace with licensed STR / Tourism Economics before underwriting. Human-touch / talent capacity remains a CapEx and refinance greenlight gate.
Which Austin — scarcity vs impact
Which Austin: Downtown SXSW/ACL event spikes and Domain/tech midweek are not airport corridors. Event compression ≠ year-round scarcity. City of Austin HOT = municipal tax / room-revenue proxy (city ≠ MSA; hotel+STR remitters) — NOT RevPAR/OCC/ADR. Market OCC/ADR remain illustrative.
Signals
5 seededTech midweek + SXSW/ACL event spikes
Illustrative: event weeks print outsized ADR; shoulder and midweek tech demand differ. Do not annualize event RevPAR.
Downtown vs Domain pipeline watch
Illustrative: Austin has seen aggressive supply. Absorption against tech cycle and event calendar is the tell.
Tech-competing hospitality staffing gate
Illustrative: hospitality competes with tech for labor. CapEx greenlights clear staffing + GC capacity.
Austin local HOT FY2025 (tax / room-revenue proxy — NOT RevPAR)
City of Austin FY2025 Local HOT (Tax Code Ch.351): rate 9.0%, revenue $132,150,027. Implied taxable room-revenue base ≈ $132.15M / 0.09 = ~$1.47B. Also Ch.334 venue tax rate 2.0% / revenue $29,363,083 (separate base — do not add into Ch.351 implied room rev). Caveats: self-reported municipal HOT; remitters may include hotels and STRs; city boundary ≠ Austin–Round Rock MSA; state HOT is separate. Tax collections are a room-revenue / demand proxy only — NOT RevPAR, OCC, or ADR.
Texas HOT ≠ RevPAR — municipal tax scope
Local HOT revenue ÷ stated Ch.351 rate estimates the taxable lodging base remitted to the city — not MSA RevPAR, OCC, or ADR. Do not overwrite seed lodging metrics from tax. Pair with licensed STR / CVB when underwriting.
Assets
1 illustrative / citedDowntown Austin / Rainey / 2nd St class (illustrative)
keys n/a · full-service / lifestyleDowntown Austin
Proxy for downtown event/leisure ADR vs Domain or airport. Underwrite which Austin.