Houston–The Woodlands–Sugar Land MSA
Illustrative seedTexas / South·Destination dashboard
Energy, medical, and international demand. Downtown Medical Center and Energy Corridor spreads; hurricane/insurance overlays. City HOT tax collections are a room-revenue proxy — not RevPAR/OCC/ADR.
Metrics and signals below are illustrative Capital Graph placeholders for IC-memo drafting — replace with licensed STR / Tourism Economics before underwriting. Human-touch / talent capacity remains a CapEx and refinance greenlight gate.
Which Houston — scarcity vs impact
Which Houston: Medical Center, Downtown energy/corporate, and Energy Corridor underwrite differently. Energy cycle + medical demand; hurricane/insurance overlays. City of Houston HOT = municipal tax / room-revenue proxy (city ≠ MSA) — NOT RevPAR/OCC/ADR. Market OCC/ADR remain illustrative.
Signals
4 seededEnergy + medical + international
Illustrative: Medical Center midweek and energy/corporate demand support corridors unevenly. Do not underwrite Houston from one spine.
Corridor pipeline + storm rebuild watch
Illustrative: supply and storm-rebuild keys can concentrate unevenly. Pair pipeline with energy cycle and insurance costs.
Medical/energy competing labor gate
Illustrative: hospitality competes with medical and energy for talent. CapEx greenlights need staffing clearance.
Houston local HOT FY2025 (tax / room-revenue proxy — NOT RevPAR)
City of Houston FY2025 Local HOT (Tax Code Ch.351): rate 7.0%, revenue $111,191,706. Implied taxable room-revenue base ≈ $111.19M / 0.07 = ~$1.59B. No Ch.334 venue revenue in the FY2025 city row. Caveats: self-reported municipal HOT; city ≠ Houston–The Woodlands–Sugar Land MSA; hotel vs STR remit scope varies. Tax collections are a room-revenue proxy only — NOT RevPAR, OCC, or ADR.
Assets
1 illustrative / citedTexas Medical Center corridor class (illustrative)
keys n/a · select-service / full-serviceMedical Center
Proxy for medical midweek demand vs Energy Corridor or Downtown. Underwrite which Houston.