San Diego–Chula Vista–Carlsbad MSA
California / West·Destination dashboard
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Rates
Tuesday Trends boardCaptured Tue, Oct 20, 2026. Median cheapest refundable nightly rate, 2 adults, pre-tax, across 50 hotels. Indicative Google Hotels prices; decision support, not a quote.
| Out | WeekdayMon–Thu | WeekendFri–Sun |
|---|---|---|
| 1 wk | $250 46/50 priced 2 no rates on Google | $289 49/50 priced |
| 1 mo | $231 44/50 priced 2 no rates on Google | $224 45/50 priced 1 no rates on Google |
| 3 mo | $278 43/50 priced | $277 45/50 priced 1 no rates on Google |
| 6 mo | $361 45/50 priced 1 no rates on Google | $353 45/50 priced 1 no rates on Google |
| ~11 mo | $397 35/50 priced 12 no rates on Google | $431 34/50 priced 12 no rates on Google |
Coverage counts hotels with a refundable rate; low-confidence prices (2 or fewer sellers and no official hotel site) are left out. Thin: under 15 of 50. ● 10+ no rates on Google at 1 wk. At ~11 months, no rates largely reflect Google's ~330-day pricing limit.
Signals
24 citedSan Diego talent: 3.1 Notable recent management changes
Hotel Z → Stellen (Evolution; announced Aug 2026; opening early 2027).
San Diego tax & CVB: Collections and DMO budget
Total TOT, base 10.5¢ (GF + TOT Fund): $323.6M adopted / $318.1M Q1 projection · FY2026 · FY2026
San Diego tax & CVB: Lodging tax stack (City of San Diego)
State sales tax on lodging: 0% (California does not apply sales tax to transient lodging) · accessed 2026-10-11
San Diego debt & deals: Named hotel transactions 2025–2026
Pendry San Diego (Gaslamp), leasehold (99-yr ground lease from 2012): recorded Jul 2026; reported 2026-08-07 · 5J Hospitality LLC…
San Diego debt & deals: CMBS / SASB loans
Hotel del Coronado, BX Trust 2025-DELC (Blackstone): $970M SASB, 2-yr floating IO + three 1-yr extensions, SOFR + 2.604% WA spread, 4.25%…
San Diego supply: Snapshot
Implied rooms (STR market): ~66,731 (Q2 supply room-nights ÷ 91, derived) · Q2 2026
San Diego supply: Latest pulse
C&W Q2 2026 (STR/CoStar): OCC 77.8%, ADR $228, RevPAR $178 (+6.3%); supply +1.6%
San Diego pipeline: Named projects
Gaylord Pacific Resort & Convention Center: ~1,600 · Open · Chula Vista Bayfront · Opened 2025
San Diego pipeline: Stage rollup
UC (county): 13 · 2,211 Opened H1 2026: 4 · 333 Downtown UC (city Civic SD report; hotel rooms): 620 rooms UC; 502 rooms in a second table…
San Diego talent: 5. Gaps (no public read)
Local 30 current scale table (Bayfront contract rates by year; exact expiry date): No public read
Source: No linked public source (reviewed 2026-10-11) · no public read
San Diego supply-pressure score 3/5
3 / 5 (mixed). UC intensity: 2,211 / ~66.7k ≈ 3.3% of implied inventory (supply derivation)
San Diego talent: 1.1 BLS OEWS — hotel occupations (MSA)
Maids & housekeeping cleaners (all industries) (37-2012): 10400 · $20.26 · $21.43
San Diego talent: 1. Wage floor
City of San Diego minimum wage: $17.75/hr (tips don't count); next $18.35 on 2027-01-01 · eff.
- City of San Diego minimum wage — sandiego.gov ↗
- City of San Diego minimum wage — sandiego.gov ↗
- Hospitality Minimum Wage Ordinance (SDMC §§312.0101–312.0112) — hotels ↗
+8 more sources
- — coverage & passage — timesofsandiego.com ↗
- — coverage & passage — kpbs.org ↗
- Referendum threat (2025) ↗
- California state minimum (context) ↗
- UNITE HERE Local 30 — Hilton San Diego Bayfront — timesofsandiego.com ↗
- UNITE HERE Local 30 — Hilton San Diego Bayfront — kpbs.org ↗
- UNITE HERE Local 30 — Hilton San Diego Bayfront — sandiegouniontribune.com ↗
- Open NLRB charge (Local 30 / Hilton Bayfront) ↗
San Diego talent: 2. Build talent (summary)
MSA construction jobs: 89,800 → 86,600 (−3,200, −4%; rank 354/360) · Aug 2025 → Aug 2026
San Diego talent: 3. Operator bench
Operator bench. Evolution Hospitality (Aimbridge; San Clemente, CA): M — lifestyle/independent · Managing Hotel Z → Stellen San Diego…
San Diego talent: 3.2 Pre-open risk — named openings
Le Méridien San Diego Pinnacle / Downtown (501 W A St) · 231 · Not open — "Opening January 2027" per San Diego Tourism Authority member…
Which San Diego — rule: the Gaylord is not San Diego
The 1,600-room Gaylord Pacific in Chula Vista is a single self-contained group campus.
San Diego group / citywide demand calendar
Oct 16–20, 2026: American Society of Anesthesiologists Annual · 16,000
San Diego visitation / demand volume
Total visitors CY2025: 32.4M (32.5M 2024) Overnight / day visitors 2025: 17.8M / 14.6M (incl.
San Diego airlift / air access demand
Aug 2026 total pax: 2,489,753 (+7.5% YoY) CYTD Aug 2026 pax: 18,328,887 (+9.8%)
San Diego drive + attraction demand anchors
Drive catchment: LA/Orange County via I-5 and I-15, Inland Empire, Phoenix via I-8, Tijuana/Baja (3.8M Mexican day visitors)
San Diego 90-day compression calendar (Oct 12 2026 → Jan 10 2027)
2026-10-16 → 2026-10-20: American Society of Anesthesiologists Annual (SDCC), 16,000 listed [Citywide / medical] — Official SDCC calendar…
World Cup 2026 post-Cup demand read — San Diego (spillover)
World Cup 2026 — spillover market. Key read: Base camps: Switzerland (Fairmont Grand Del Mar), New Zealand (Hyatt Regency La Jolla); no…
San Diego REIT ownership (Tier 1): 7,715 rooms, 4 REITs
Rooms owned: HST 3,294 (43%); PEB 2,462 (32%); APLE 1,221; PK 738 (incl. non-core DoubleTree Mission Valley 300, whose disposition timing…
Hotel-tax collections
newest first · 28 periodsSan Diego General Fund TOT, single month (derived) — May 2026
$14,647,033 · Prior-yr month: $13,043,129 · YoY: +12.3%. Basis: derived month (arithmetic); rate-neutral; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego General Fund TOT, fiscal YTD (base 10.5%) — FY2026 YTD through May 2026
$133,070,649 · Prior-yr YTD: $133,144,769 · GF YoY (published): −0.1% · TOT Fund YTD: $119,698,309 · Prior-yr YTD: $120,437,216 · TOT Fund…
San Diego Measure C TOT increment, fiscal YTD — TOT – Convention Center, YTD May 2026
Amount: $37,131,070 · YoY: n/a (new tax; prior-year YTD ≈ $0).
San Diego Measure C TOT increment, fiscal YTD — TOT – Homelessness, YTD May 2026
Amount: $25,692,677 · YoY: n/a (new tax). Basis: Measure C increment (new tax); FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego General Fund TOT, single month (derived) — Apr 2026
$15,759,248 · Prior-yr month: $13,158,691 · YoY: +19.8%. Basis: derived month (arithmetic); rate-neutral; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego General Fund TOT, fiscal YTD (base 10.5%) — FY2026 YTD through Apr 2026
$118,423,616 · Prior-yr YTD: $120,101,640 · GF YoY (published): −1.4% · TOT Fund YTD: $106,436,095 · Prior-yr YTD: $108,432,250 · TOT Fund…
+22 earlier periods
San Diego General Fund TOT, single month (derived) — Mar 2026
$13,222,201 · Prior-yr month: $11,566,640 · YoY: +14.3%. Basis: derived month (arithmetic); rate-neutral; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego General Fund TOT, fiscal YTD (base 10.5%) — FY2026 YTD through Mar 2026
$102,664,368 · Prior-yr YTD: $106,942,949 · GF YoY (published): −4.0% · TOT Fund YTD: $92,046,460 · Prior-yr YTD: $96,565,148 · TOT Fund…
San Diego General Fund TOT, single month (derived) — Feb 2026
$11,010,702 · Prior-yr month: $10,990,070 · YoY: +0.2%. Basis: derived month (arithmetic); rate-neutral; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego General Fund TOT, fiscal YTD (base 10.5%) — FY2026 YTD through Feb 2026
$89,442,167 · Prior-yr YTD: $95,376,309 · GF YoY (published): −6.2% · TOT Fund YTD: $80,101,780 · Prior-yr YTD: $86,050,594 · TOT Fund YoY…
San Diego General Fund TOT, single month (derived) — Jan 2026
$9,426,296 · Prior-yr month: $10,122,551 · YoY: -6.9%. Basis: derived month (arithmetic); rate-neutral; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego General Fund TOT, fiscal YTD (base 10.5%) — FY2026 YTD through Jan 2026
$78,431,465 · Prior-yr YTD: $84,386,239 · GF YoY (published): −7.1% · TOT Fund YTD: $70,129,052 · Prior-yr YTD: $76,022,711 · TOT Fund YoY…
San Diego General Fund TOT, single month (derived) — Dec 2025
$10,672,576 · Prior-yr month: $11,440,672 · YoY: -6.7%. Basis: derived month (arithmetic); rate-neutral; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego General Fund TOT, fiscal YTD (base 10.5%) — FY2026 YTD through Dec 2025
$69,005,169 · Prior-yr YTD: $74,263,688 · GF YoY (published): −7.1% · TOT Fund YTD: $61,556,291 · Prior-yr YTD: $66,872,713 · TOT Fund YoY…
San Diego General Fund TOT, single month (derived) — Nov 2025
$12,673,290 · Prior-yr month: $13,551,063 · YoY: -6.5%. Basis: derived month (arithmetic); rate-neutral; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego General Fund TOT, fiscal YTD (base 10.5%) — FY2026 YTD through Nov 2025
$58,332,593 · Prior-yr YTD: $62,823,016 · GF YoY (published): −7.1% · TOT Fund YTD: $52,102,146 · Prior-yr YTD: $56,516,802 · TOT Fund YoY…
San Diego General Fund TOT, single month (derived) — Oct 2025
$13,364,820 · Prior-yr month: $14,485,828 · YoY: -7.7%. Basis: derived month (arithmetic); rate-neutral; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego General Fund TOT, fiscal YTD (base 10.5%) — FY2026 YTD through Oct 2025
$45,659,303 · Prior-yr YTD: $49,271,953 · GF YoY (published): −7.3% · TOT Fund YTD: $40,490,114 · Prior-yr YTD: $43,824,844 · TOT Fund YoY…
San Diego General Fund TOT, fiscal YTD (base 10.5%) — FY2026 YTD through Sep 2025
$32,294,483 · Prior-yr YTD: $34,786,125 · GF YoY (published): −7.2% · TOT Fund YTD: $28,264,472 · Prior-yr YTD: $30,867,459 · TOT Fund YoY…
San Diego city TOT, annual (State Controller) — FY2024 (Jul 2023–Jun 2024)
Amount: $310,930,107 · YoY (computed): +0.9%. Basis: city-reported to State Controller; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego city TOT, annual (State Controller) — FY2023 (Jul 2022–Jun 2023)
Amount: $308,074,645 · YoY (computed): +18.9%. Basis: city-reported to State Controller; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego city TOT, annual (State Controller) — FY2022 (Jul 2021–Jun 2022)
Amount: $259,109,645 · YoY (computed): +101.9%. Basis: city-reported to State Controller; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego city TOT, annual (State Controller) — FY2021 (Jul 2020–Jun 2021)
Amount: $128,309,913 · YoY (computed): -29.2%. Basis: city-reported to State Controller; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego city TOT, annual (State Controller) — FY2020 (Jul 2019–Jun 2020)
Amount: $181,180,553 · YoY (computed): -27.8%. Basis: city-reported to State Controller; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego city TOT, annual (State Controller) — FY2019 (Jul 2018–Jun 2019)
Amount: $250,883,489 · YoY (computed): +8.2%. Basis: city-reported to State Controller; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego city TOT, annual (State Controller) — FY2018 (Jul 2017–Jun 2018)
Amount: $231,862,793 · YoY (computed): +4.3%. Basis: city-reported to State Controller; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego city TOT, annual (State Controller) — FY2017 (Jul 2016–Jun 2017)
Amount: $222,228,402 · YoY (computed): n/a. Basis: city-reported to State Controller; FY Jul–Jun.
San Diego hotel-tax series — gaps
San Diego hotel-tax series gaps (as of 2026-10-11): Jul–Aug 2025 period reports and Jun 2026 year-end: not pulled / not posted — no public…
Source: Official publishers (gap note; no public read) · no public read