Phoenix–Mesa–Chandler MSA
Southwest·Destination dashboard
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Rates
Tuesday Trends boardCaptured Tue, Oct 20, 2026. Median cheapest refundable nightly rate, 2 adults, pre-tax, across 50 hotels. Indicative Google Hotels prices; decision support, not a quote.
| Out | WeekdayMon–Thu | WeekendFri–Sun |
|---|---|---|
| 1 wk | $375 39/50 priced 2 no rates on Google | $223 49/50 priced |
| 1 mo | $339 45/50 priced 3 no rates on Google | $252 48/50 priced |
| 3 mo | $393 42/50 priced 2 no rates on Google | $344 44/50 priced 2 no rates on Google |
| 6 mo | $402 41/50 priced 4 no rates on Google | $350 39/50 priced 2 no rates on Google |
| ~11 mo | $359 31/50 priced 6 no rates on Google | $392 30/50 priced 8 no rates on Google |
Coverage counts hotels with a refundable rate; low-confidence prices (2 or fewer sellers and no official hotel site) are left out. Thin: under 15 of 50. ● 10+ no rates on Google at 1 wk. At ~11 months, no rates largely reflect Google's ~330-day pricing limit.
Signals
26 citedPhoenix talent: 3.1 Notable recent management changes
Arizona Biltmore + Wrigley Mansion unified under Pyramid (Oct 2026).
Phoenix debt & deals: CMBS / SASB loans (2026–2027 maturities, SS, DQ, foreclosure, mods)
Phoenix hotel CMBS cohort (unnamed): n/a · 11 hotel CMBS loans mature within 2 years; 9 properties identified as at-risk · 2026-05-06
Phoenix debt & deals: Named hotel transactions 2025–2026
Four Seasons Resort Scottsdale at Troon North: PSA 2026-09-23; close expected 2026-10-22 · Evergreen Acquisitions LLC / Braemar (BHR)…
- Four Seasons Resort Scottsdale at Troon North — stocktitan.net ↗
- Four Seasons Resort Scottsdale at Troon North — hotelmanagement.net ↗
- Fairmont Scottsdale Princess ↗
+6 more sources
- JW Marriott Phoenix Desert Ridge Resort & Spa — sec.gov ↗
- JW Marriott Phoenix Desert Ridge Resort & Spa — businesswire.com ↗
- Sheraton Phoenix Downtown — hoteldive.com ↗
- Sheraton Phoenix Downtown — amp.azcentral.com ↗
- DoubleTree Phoenix Tempe ↗
- 5 Sonesta hotels (incl. Sonesta Select Tempe Downtown, Phoenix Chandle ↗
Phoenix tax & CVB: Lodging tax stack (stays of ≤29 nights)
Arizona state TPT (transient lodging): 5.5% · eff. 2026-01-01
Phoenix tax & CVB: Collections, CVB budget, and flows
Phoenix Convention Center fund, "City Taxes and Related Fees" (designated TPT shares incl. hotel/motel; not hotel-only): $85.05M actual /…
Phoenix talent: 3.2 Pre-open risk — named openings
Hyatt Studios Phoenix (TSMC-oriented): 114 · Q2 2027 · No public read · Low: lean ES model
Phoenix supply: Latest pulse
C&W Q2 2026 (STR/CoStar): OCC 66.2% (+1.2%), ADR $164 (+2.0%), RevPAR $108 (+3.3%); supply +2.4% (tied highest in top 25)
Phoenix talent: 3. Operator bench
Operator bench. Pyramid Global Hospitality: M (§2.3) · Will operate Wrigley Mansion with Arizona Biltmore after Henderson Park JV unifies…
Phoenix supply: Submarket basemap (v0)
Scottsdale / Paradise Valley / N. Scottsdale: Resort and luxury rate holds; flat to slightly positive RevPAR
Phoenix pipeline: Stage rollup (LE Q2 2026 public)
Total pipeline: 115 · 16,136 Under construction: 31 · 4,621 NPAs Q2 2026: 8 · 1,641
Phoenix talent: 1. Wage floor
Arizona minimum wage: $15.15/hr (from $14.70; CPI) · eff. 2026-01-01
Phoenix talent: 1.1 BLS OEWS — hotel occupations (MSA)
Maids & housekeeping cleaners (all industries) (37-2012): 14250 · $17.38 · $18.18
Phoenix talent: 2. Build talent (summary)
MSA construction jobs: 178,800 → 185,600 (+6,800, +4%; rank 5/360 by gain) · Aug 2025 → Aug 2026
Phoenix talent: 5. Gaps (no public read)
Sheraton/Westin/Renaissance downtown Local 11 contract status since 2023: No public read
Source: No linked public source (reviewed 2026-10-11) · no public read
Phoenix supply: Snapshot
Implied rooms (STR market): ~73,137 (Q2 supply room-nights ÷ 91, derived) · Q2 2026
Phoenix supply-pressure score 5/5
5 / 5. UC intensity: #2 U.S. UC: 31 / 4,621 rooms (most rooms UC of any market except NYC); 5.7% of inventory at YE 2025
Phoenix pipeline: Named projects
Denū Hotel & Spa (Meritage Collection): 236 · Opening Sep 16 2026 · Downtown · 2026
Phoenix group / citywide demand calendar
Nov 2026: Arizona International Auto Show not held in 2026 (VADA decision; returns Nov 25–28, 2027 at PCC).
Phoenix 90-day compression calendar (Oct 12 2026 → Jan 10 2027)
2026-12-11 → 2026-12-15: National Athletic Directors Conference & Exhibit Show (PCC) [Association] — Confirmed (accessed 2026-10-11); next…
Phoenix airlift / air access demand
Jul 2026 total pax: 4,193,673 (+0.4% YoY) CYTD Jul 2026: 30,846,557 (+0.8%)
Phoenix drive + attraction demand anchors
Drive catchment: Southern California via I-10 (LA/IE), Tucson (I-10), Las Vegas (US-93), San Diego (I-8); Sonora/Mexico drive-in
Phoenix visitation / demand volume
Metro visitors 2025: 47.7M (incl. day trips); 1.7M international
Which Phoenix, and which season — rule: MSA averages is not the same as resort performance
Scottsdale, Paradise Valley and Tempe resorts hold rate, with RevPAR flat to slightly up.
Phoenix transactions: ~$1B in H1 2025, led by JW Desert Ridge $865M
Phoenix was the largest U.S. single market for hotel transactions in H1 2025 at ~$1B, led by the $865M JW Marriott Desert Ridge sale…
Phoenix REIT ownership (Tier 1): 3,898 rooms, 3 REITs + Hyatt 693
Rooms owned: HST 1,545 (40%; 10-K property list); APLE 1,403 (36%); RHP 950 (JW Desert Ridge).
Four Seasons Scottsdale — 6.2% cap / $1.8M per key (Braemar → Evergreen)
Four Seasons Scottsdale (Braemar → Evergreen) at $372M ($1.8M per key) at a 6.2% cap on TTM August NOI including $23M capex; close ~Oct 22.
Hotel-tax collections
newest first · 14 periodsPhoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — May 2026
Convention Center fund: $2,818K · YoY (published): +8.1% · General Fund: $2,105K · YoY (published): +31.8%.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, fiscal-year view — FY2026 YTD Jul 2025–May 2026, Convention Center fund
Amount: $26,072K · YoY: n/a (prior-year YTD for this line not stated).
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, fiscal-year view — FY2026 YTD Jul 2025–May 2026, General Fund
Amount: $19,193K · YoY: n/a. Basis: cash collected; sum of monthly figures (arithmetic); FY Jul–Jun.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Apr 2026
Convention Center fund: $4,054K · YoY (published): +10.6% · General Fund: $3,002K · YoY (published): +33.3%.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Mar 2026
Convention Center fund: $3,556K · YoY (published): +7.8% · General Fund: $2,652K · YoY (published): +32.1%.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Feb 2026
Convention Center fund: $2,741K · YoY (published): +14.9% · General Fund: $2,027K · YoY (published): +39.1%.
+8 earlier periods
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Jan 2026
Convention Center fund: $2,128K · YoY (published): +13.4% · General Fund: $1,581K · YoY (published): +37.0%.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Dec 2025
Convention Center fund: $2,482K · YoY (published): +6.9% · General Fund: $1,830K · YoY (published): +29.0%.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Nov 2025
Convention Center fund: $2,626K · YoY (published): +1.5% · General Fund: $1,949K · YoY (published): +23.6%.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Oct 2025
Convention Center fund: $1,687K · YoY (published): −7.4% · General Fund: $1,252K · YoY (published): +12.2%.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Sep 2025
Convention Center fund: $1,258K · YoY (published): −7.7% · General Fund: $945K · YoY (published): +12.9%.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Aug 2025
Convention Center fund: $1,279K · YoY (published): −6.0% · General Fund: $956K · YoY (published): +13.8%.
Phoenix hotel/motel lodging tax, monthly collections ($000) — Jul 2025
Convention Center fund: $1,443K · YoY (published): −6.5% · General Fund: $894K · YoY (published): −5.8%.
Phoenix hotel-tax series — gaps
Phoenix hotel-tax series gaps (as of 2026-10-11): June 2026 (Month 12): image-only PDF, not transcribed — no public read in…
Source: Official publishers (gap note; no public read) · no public read