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New York–Newark–Jersey City MSA

Northeast / Mid-Atlantic·Destination dashboard

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Rates

Tuesday Trends board

Captured Tue, Oct 20, 2026. Median cheapest refundable nightly rate, 2 adults, pre-tax, across 50 hotels. Indicative Google Hotels prices; decision support, not a quote.

Median cheapest refundable nightly rate by horizon and stay
OutWeekdayMon–ThuWeekendFri–Sun
1 wk
$691
44/50 priced
4 no rates on Google
$639
43/50 priced
3 no rates on Google
1 mo
$422
41/50 priced
1 no rates on Google
$440
41/50 priced
1 no rates on Google
3 mo
$253
45/50 priced
1 no rates on Google
$245
45/50 priced
1 no rates on Google
6 mo
$412
40/50 priced
1 no rates on Google
$391
35/50 priced
1 no rates on Google
~11 mo
$547
38/50 priced
4 no rates on Google
$609
37/50 priced
5 no rates on Google

Coverage counts hotels with a refundable rate; low-confidence prices (2 or fewer sellers and no official hotel site) are left out. Thin: under 15 of 50. ● 10+ no rates on Google at 1 wk. At ~11 months, no rates largely reflect Google's ~330-day pricing limit.

Signals

27 cited
talent2 changesas of 2026-10-19

New York City talent: 3.1 Notable recent management changes

Lotte New York Palace → Highgate (Jun 2026) — 909 keys, IWA hotel; Highgate now owns labor relations there.

tax6 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City tax & CVB: Collections & DMO funding

Hotel room occupancy tax, actual: $770M · FY2025 · Jul 2026 Hotel tax, OMB adopted plan: FY25 $785M / FY26 $811M / FY27 $811M / FY28 $838M…

supply8 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City supply: Snapshot

Active rooms (avg monthly): 124,000 (+1.9% YoY); 1,003 hotels · 2025

pipeline6 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City pipeline: Stage rollup

Projected 2026 openings: 4,852 Active development through 2028: 24 · 5,778

talent4 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City talent: 2. Build talent (summary)

NY–Newark–Jersey City construction: 390,100 → 383,700 (−6,400, −2%) · Aug 2025 → Aug 2026

talent4 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City talent: 5. Gaps (no public read)

IWA HK/desk hourly rates by year: MOU PDF not parsed this pass

Source: No linked public source (reviewed 2026-10-11) · no public read

supplyscore 3/5as of 2026-10-11

New York City supply-pressure score 3/5

3 / 5 (mixed). UC intensity: ~5.8k / 124k ≈ 4.7% through 2028 (supply derivation)

supply5 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City supply: Submarket basemap (v0)

Manhattan: 567 → 597 (+5.3%) · Slowest growth; 75% of hotel-tax liability; most union hotels

talent4 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City talent: 3. Operator bench

Operator bench. Highgate (NY HQ): M · Lotte New York Palace (909) — took management Jun 2026 incl. labor relations; also InterContinental…

visitation9 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City visitation / demand volume

Visitors 2025: 65.0M (+0.7%) Domestic / international 2025: 52.4M (+1.7%) / 12.5M (−3.2%); international = 50% of tourism spend

drive4 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City drive + attraction demand anchors

Drive / rail catchment: Tri-state is the #1 feeder, then Philadelphia, DC, LA, Boston.

supply4,852 rooms in 2026as of 2026-07

New York City: 4,852 rooms opening in 2026 — most in the nation (OSC)

NY State Comptroller (OSC) hotel report: 2026 openings 4,852 rooms (nation-leading); 24 projects / 5,778 rooms through 2028.

citywide_calendar4 eventsas of 2026-10-11

New York City 90-day compression calendar (Oct 12 2026 → Jan 10 2027)

2026-11-03 → 2026-11-05: ISC East (Javits; exhibits Nov 4–5) [Trade] — Confirmed (accessed 2026-10-11)

airlift6 rowsas of 2026-10-11

New York City airlift / air access demand

PANYNJ airports H1 2026: 67M pax (−2%) By airport H1 2026: EWR 22.8M (+3%, recovered from 2025 FAA staffing); LGA 15.3M (−3%); JFK −5%

eventhostas of 2026-10-11 (event Jun 11–Jul 19, 2026)

World Cup 2026 post-Cup demand read — New York / NJ (host)

World Cup 2026 (Jun 11–Jul 19) — host market. Key numbers (lift vs hype): HVS match-week: OCC ~flat, ADR +$62.27, RevPAR +$55.51 / +23.5%…

debt$100M / 351 keysas of Oct 2026

Hyatt Regency Jersey City — $100M CMBS to special servicing

Hyatt Regency Jersey City ($100M CMBS, 351 keys) moved to special servicing for imminent October maturity default; net cash flow only met…

taxHTX liability $769.2M / taxable rent $11.78Bas of TY2024 (Mar 2023–Feb 2024)

NYC HTX Tax Year 2024 (tax / room-revenue proxy — NOT RevPAR)

NYC Department of Finance Statistical Profile of the Hotel Room Occupancy Tax, Tax Year 2024 (published July 2025).

nuanceruleas of 2026-09

NYC hotel-tax liability is not the same as RevPAR — tax liability vs STR metrics

HTX total liability and taxable rent are DOF tax constructs (city hotel room occupancy tax year).

Hotel-tax collections

newest first · 15 periods
tax$207M (+6.7% YoY) · cash collectedas of Apr–Jun 2026 (FY2026 Q4)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Apr–Jun 2026 (FY2026 Q4)

$207M · Prior-year quarter: $194M · YoY (published): +6.7%. Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$847M (+5.7% YoY) · cash collectedas of FY2026 (Jul 2025–Jun 2026)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, fiscal-year cash receipts — FY2026 (Jul 2025–Jun 2026)

$847M · YoY: +5.7% (published). Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$194M (+7.2% YoY) · cash collectedas of Jan–Mar 2026 (FY2026 Q3)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Jan–Mar 2026 (FY2026 Q3)

$194M · Prior-year quarter: $181M · YoY (published): +7.2%. Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$249M (+4.6% YoY) · cash collectedas of Oct–Dec 2025 (FY2026 Q2)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Oct–Dec 2025 (FY2026 Q2)

$249M · Prior-year quarter: $238M · YoY (published): +4.6%. Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$197M (+4.8% YoY) · cash collectedas of Jul–Sep 2025 (FY2026 Q1)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Jul–Sep 2025 (FY2026 Q1)

$197M · Prior-year quarter: $188M · YoY (published): +4.8%. Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$194M (+1.0% YoY) · cash collectedas of Apr–Jun 2025 (FY2025 Q4)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Apr–Jun 2025 (FY2025 Q4)

$194M · Prior-year quarter: $192M · YoY (published): +1.0%. Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

+9 earlier periods
tax$801M (+9.4% YoY) · cash collectedas of FY2025 (Jul 2024–Jun 2025)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, fiscal-year cash receipts — FY2025 (Jul 2024–Jun 2025)

$801M · YoY: +9.4% (published). Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$181M (+19.9% YoY) · cash collectedas of Jan–Mar 2025 (FY2025 Q3)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Jan–Mar 2025 (FY2025 Q3)

$181M · Prior-year quarter: $151M · YoY (published): +19.9%.

tax$238M (+8.2% YoY) · cash collectedas of Oct–Dec 2024 (FY2025 Q2)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Oct–Dec 2024 (FY2025 Q2)

$238M · Prior-year quarter: $220M · YoY (published): +8.2%. Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$188M (+11.2% YoY) · cash collectedas of Jul–Sep 2024 (FY2025 Q1)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Jul–Sep 2024 (FY2025 Q1)

$188M · Prior-year quarter: $169M · YoY (published): +11.2%.

tax$192M (+7.9% YoY) · cash collectedas of Apr–Jun 2024 (FY2024 Q4)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Apr–Jun 2024 (FY2024 Q4)

$192M · Prior-year quarter: $178M · YoY (published): +7.9%. Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$732M (+9.3% YoY) · cash collectedas of FY2024 (Jul 2023–Jun 2024)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, fiscal-year cash receipts — FY2024 (Jul 2023–Jun 2024)

$732M · YoY: +9.3% (published). Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$151M (+7.9% YoY) · cash collectedas of Jan–Mar 2024 (FY2024 Q3)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, quarterly cash receipts — Jan–Mar 2024 (FY2024 Q3)

$151M · Prior-year quarter: $140M · YoY (published): +7.9%. Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$670M · cash collectedas of FY2023 (Jul 2022–Jun 2023)

New York City hotel occupancy tax, fiscal-year cash receipts — FY2023 (Jul 2022–Jun 2023)

$670M · YoY: n/a. Basis: cash collected; FY Jul–Jun. Cash basis, gross of refunds — differs from OSC/OMB figures (OSC FY2025 $770M vs $801M…

taxno public readas of 2026-10-11

New York City hotel-tax series — gaps

New York City hotel-tax series gaps (as of 2026-10-11): Monthly NYC hotel tax: no public read in a monthly official series this pass…

Source: Official publishers (gap note; no public read) · no public read

Assets

none yet
No cited assets yet for this destination. Underwrite by submarket and product class — MSA averages are not a substitute for a competitive set.

Linked findings

No radar findings for this market yet.