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Nashville–Davidson–Murfreesboro MSA

Southeast·Destination dashboard

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Rates

Tuesday Trends board

Captured Tue, Oct 20, 2026. Median cheapest refundable nightly rate, 2 adults, pre-tax, across 50 hotels. Indicative Google Hotels prices; decision support, not a quote.

Median cheapest refundable nightly rate by horizon and stay
OutWeekdayMon–ThuWeekendFri–Sun
1 wk
$339
38/50 priced
6 no rates on Google
$278
46/50 priced
1 mo
$342
37/50 priced
6 no rates on Google
$306
43/50 priced
3 mo
$284
43/50 priced
2 no rates on Google
$315
39/50 priced
2 no rates on Google
6 mo
$375
39/50 priced
1 no rates on Google
$436
39/50 priced
1 no rates on Google
~11 mo
$389
26/50 priced
9 no rates on Google
$425
28/50 priced
9 no rates on Google

Coverage counts hotels with a refundable rate; low-confidence prices (2 or fewer sellers and no official hotel site) are left out. Thin: under 15 of 50. ● 10+ no rates on Google at 1 wk. At ~11 months, no rates largely reflect Google's ~330-day pricing limit.

Signals

26 cited
tax6 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville tax & CVB: Collections and DMO budget

Metro total hotel tax collections: ~$152M · FY2025 · 2025-09-11

tax6 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville tax & CVB: Lodging tax stack (Davidson County / Metro Nashville)

Tennessee state sales tax: 7.00% · FY2025 Davidson local-option sales tax (2.25% + 0.5% transit surcharge eff.

talent2 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville talent: 3.2 Pre-open risk — named openings

Pendry Nashville: 180 · 2028 per pendry.com (earlier pipeline read: spring 2027) · Pendry/Montage; GM no public read · Schedule slip → flag…

pipeline8 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville pipeline: Named projects

Tempo by Hilton Nashville Midtown: 161 · Opening Mar 2026 (per NCVC) · Midtown · 2026

talent4 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville talent: 5. Gaps (no public read)

Any Nashville hotel union unit: No public read Pendry / Moxy / EDITION leadership: No public read

Source: No linked public source (reviewed 2026-10-11) · no public read

talent4 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville talent: 1. Wage floor

Tennessee / federal minimum: $7.25/hr (tipped cash $2.13) · current 2026

talent3 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville talent: 2. Build talent (summary)

Nashville MSA construction: 67,400 → 65,600 (−1,800, −3%; rank 350/360) · Aug 2025 → Aug 2026

talent6 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville talent: 3. Operator bench

Operator bench. Marriott (Gaylord Opryland): M · Ryman-owned; Marriott manages; 10-K FY2025: each Gaylord management agreement other than…

supply6 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville supply: Snapshot

Metro Nashville (Davidson) rooms: 42,241 (supply +3.4% YoY) · Dec 2025

supply5 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville supply: Latest pulse

County YTD through Sep 12 2026: OCC 69.4% (+3.2%); demand +5% (~3x supply growth); room revenue ~$1.5B (+5.9%))

pipeline7 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville pipeline: Stage rollup

Total pipeline (LE MSA): 122 · 16,281 Start next 12 mo: 49 · 6,623

drive3 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville drive + attraction demand anchors

Drive catchment: Three-interstate hub: I-65 (Louisville/Indianapolis, Birmingham), I-40 (Memphis, Knoxville), I-24 (Chattanooga/Atlanta, St.

visitation9 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville visitation / demand volume

Visitors 2025 (50+ mi, Tourism Economics): 17.39M (+2.7%) Overnight visitors 2025: 11.55M

airlift8 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville airlift / air access demand

Aug 2026 total pax: 2,389,896 (+4.9%) Aug 2026 seats / load factor: 3,118,674 (+5.9%) / 76.6% (−0.7 pts)

citywide_calendar4 eventsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville 90-day compression calendar (Oct 12 2026 → Jan 10 2027)

2026-10-11 → 2026-10-14: American College of Gastroenterology (MCC), 10,000 listed [Citywide / medical] — Official MCC calendar next pull…

citywide_calendar9 rowsas of 2026-10-11

Nashville group / citywide demand calendar

Oct 11–14, 2026: American College of Gastroenterology · 10,000

demand21% of lodging revenueas of 2026-03-03

Nashville short-term rentals: 21% of lodging revenue ($540M of $2.6B)

STR revenue $540M = 21% of Nashville's $2.6B total lodging revenue; ~9,500 active listings (29% are 4-bedroom units, which compete for…

eventspilloveras of 2026-10-11 (event Jun 11–Jul 19, 2026)

World Cup 2026 post-Cup demand read — Nashville (spillover)

World Cup 2026 — spillover market. Key read: Japan base camp; trailing-12 RevPAR −1.2% pre-Cup; no Cup-period KPI read.

occupancyOCC 71.7% / ADR $186 / RevPAR $133as of Q2 2026

Nashville Q2 2026 (C&W MarketBeat, STR/CoStar): OCC 71.7%, RevPAR $133

Cushman & Wakefield MarketBeat Q2 2026 (STR/CoStar-sourced, 3-month): OCC 71.7% (−0.2%), ADR $186 (+1.2%), RevPAR $133 (+1.0%); supply…

supply42,241 / 61,179 roomsas of Dec 2025

Nashville room inventory (NCVC, Dec 2025): 42,241 Davidson / 61,179 greater

Metro Nashville (Davidson) 42,241 rooms (supply +3.4% YoY); greater Nashville 61,179 rooms (Top-25 U.S. market); downtown core 14,295…

nuanceruleas of 2026-10-11

Which Nashville — rule: event weekends are not the base

Nashville prints 90%+ downtown on marquee weekends (Alan Jackson finale 98% downtown / 92% county, 78,433 room nights; CMA Fest 89.4%…

Hotel-tax collections

newest first · 7 periods
tax"just over $97.8 million" · narrative, rounded (commission minutes)as of FY2026 YTD Jul 2025–Feb 2026, total

Nashville hotel occupancy tax — FY2026 YTD Jul 2025–Feb 2026, total

Amount: "just over $97.8 million" · YoY: n/a. Basis: narrative, rounded (commission minutes); FY Jul–Jun.

tax$28.3M · narrative, rounded (commission minutes)as of FY2026 YTD Jul 2025–Feb 2026, tourism-promotion share

Nashville hotel occupancy tax — FY2026 YTD Jul 2025–Feb 2026, tourism-promotion share

Amount: $28.3M · YoY: "almost 3%" ahead of prior year (published, as worded).

tax"approximately $152 million" · narrative, rounded (commission minutes)as of FY2025, total hotel-tax collections (Jul 2024–Jun 2025)

Nashville hotel occupancy tax — FY2025, total hotel-tax collections (Jul 2024–Jun 2025)

Amount: "approximately $152 million" · YoY: n/a (different definition from FY2024 rows).

tax$44.08M · narrative, rounded (commission minutes)as of FY2025, tourism-promotion share (Jul 2024–Jun 2025)

Nashville hotel occupancy tax — FY2025, tourism-promotion share (Jul 2024–Jun 2025)

Amount: $44,080,000 · YoY: n/a. Basis: narrative, rounded (commission minutes); FY Jul–Jun.

tax$127.47M · budgetary actualas of FY2024, object 403207 Hotel Occupancy Tax (actual) (Jul 2023–Jun 2024)

Nashville hotel occupancy tax — FY2024, object 403207 Hotel Occupancy Tax (actual) (Jul 2023–Jun 2024)

Amount: $127,472,149 · YoY: n/a. Basis: budgetary actual; FY Jul–Jun.

tax$22.07M · budgetary actualas of FY2024, 1% stadium hotel occupancy tax (Jul 2023–Jun 2024)

Nashville hotel occupancy tax — FY2024, 1% stadium hotel occupancy tax (Jul 2023–Jun 2024)

Amount: $22,069,511.93 · YoY: n/a. Basis: budgetary actual; FY Jul–Jun.

+1 earlier periods
taxno public readas of 2026-10-11

Nashville hotel-tax series — gaps

Nashville hotel-tax series gaps (as of 2026-10-11): Monthly: no public read.

Source: Official publishers (gap note; no public read) · no public read

Assets

none yet
No cited assets yet for this destination. Underwrite by submarket and product class — MSA averages are not a substitute for a competitive set.

Linked findings

No radar findings for this market yet.