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RLJ Midway-area portfolio (7 hotels)

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Insufficient public data

Only 2 of 5 factors could be graded; insufficient public data. Replacement cost not graded (price includes a restaurant parcel with no public allocation); spread not graded (no trailing-12-month cap rate or NOI disclosed); supply not graded (no dated room count or pipeline share public).

Public-data underwrite. The buyer's information set was larger. Decision support, not a recommendation.

Price
$68Mrecorded price, as reported in the press; includes a restaurant parcel
Price per key
$64k per key
Keys
1,0577 hotels, as reported in the press; not confirmed by the company
Buyer
Endeavor Hotels (Vishal Thakkar)
Seller
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ)
Announced
Oct 25, 2026
Status
Close reported by press, not company-confirmed

Grade at announcement

As of Oct 25, 2026

Price and basis

  • Price per key vs replacement cost per key 30%Not graded: the $68M recorded price includes a restaurant parcel with no public allocation, so price per key isn't comparable. The blended replacement cost ($249,350 per key) is context only.Not graded

    Not graded: the $68M recorded price includes a restaurant parcel with no public allocation, so price per key isn't comparable. The blended replacement cost ($249,350 per key) is context only.

    None (not graded)

Cited figures shown for reference. They don’t enter the grade.

Price per key vs replacement cost per key

  • Blended HVS replacement cost: $249,350 per key (Marriott at full-service; Hilton Garden Inn and Courtyard at select-service; Hampton, Holiday Inn Express, Fairfield and Sleep Inn at limited-service). No ratio: the $68M includes a restaurant parcel with no public allocation. source · Jul 13, 2026

Operating performance

Cited figures shown for reference. They don’t enter the grade.

Implied cap rate vs 10-year Treasury spread

  • 10-year Treasury par yield, Oct 23, 2026 close: 5.00% (prior trading day; Oct 25 was a Sunday). No qualifying cap rate, so no spread is computed. source · Oct 23, 2026

Demand trajectory

  • The seven deal hotels alone: −2.77% ($3,956,993 vs $4,069,572), calendar 2025 vs 2024; matched by brand and location. source · Jun 30, 2026

Access: airlift and drive (not a rubric factor; no weight)

  • Airlift (preliminary): Chicago Midway (MDW) passengers, calendar year to date Jan to Aug 2026, +2.36% (year-to-date fallback; total used as printed). source · Oct 20, 2026
  • Drive, context only: Illinois Tollway transactions, H1 2026: +2.49%; none of the 1,057 keys is served by the Tollway (all seven hotels are reached via I-55, which is untolled). source · Aug 19, 2026

Financing and material risks

  • Supply backdrop 15%No dated room count or pipeline share for the Midway submarket was public by Oct 25, 2026.Not graded

    No dated room count or pipeline share for the Midway submarket was public by Oct 25, 2026.

    None (not graded)

  • Debt and transaction context 15%4

    Arm's-length, no distress reported, but one recorded price covers seven hotels plus a restaurant parcel with no public allocation (The Real Deal, Oct 25, 2026, from Cook County records).

    Band: 4 = Arm's-length, no distress, but the structure blurs the price signal: portfolio-allocated price, loan assumption or seller financing, earn-out or contingent consideration, partial-interest or JV recapitalization

    PressOct 25, 2026 (opens source)

Cited figures shown for reference. They don’t enter the grade.

Supply backdrop

  • Mattoni Group's Midway Airport site: plans under review for a hotel complex; no room count or opening date. source · Mar 14, 2025

Debt and transaction context

  • Cited context only: RLJ bought the properties for $139M in 2006, and the buyer used a $90M mortgage (press report citing Cook County records). source · Oct 25, 2026

Weights of ungraded factors are spread across graded ones.

OverallInsufficient public data · 2 of 5 factors graded
Rubric v1 (original), graded Oct 26, 2026: Insufficient public data

replacement cost not graded; spread not gradeable (no trailing-12-month cap rate or NOI disclosed); 2 of 5 factors graded; insufficient public data.

  • Price per key vs replacement cost per key 30%Not graded: the $68M recorded price includes a restaurant parcel with no public allocation, so price per key isn't comparable. The blended replacement cost ($249,350 per key) is context only.Not graded

    Not graded: the $68M recorded price includes a restaurant parcel with no public allocation, so price per key isn't comparable. The blended replacement cost ($249,350 per key) is context only.

    None (not graded)

  • Implied cap rate vs 10-year Treasury spread 25%No trailing-12-month cap rate or NOI disclosed (reported only in the press; no RLJ filing).Not graded

    No trailing-12-month cap rate or NOI disclosed (reported only in the press; no RLJ filing).

    None (not graded)

  • Supply backdrop 15%No dated room count or pipeline share for the Midway submarket was public by Oct 25, 2026.Not graded

    No dated room count or pipeline share for the Midway submarket was public by Oct 25, 2026.

    None (not graded)

  • Demand trajectory 15%3

    Lodging tax receipts -2.81% (trailing 12 months vs prior 12, Village of Bedford Park hotel tax (cash), calendar 2025 vs 2024, the latest full year published; $6,081,591 vs $6,257,174)

    Band: 3 = down under 5%

    RecordJun 30, 2026 (opens source)+ Village of Bedford Park FY2024 audit, CY2024 hotel tax (Illinois Comptroller copy; PDF created Jun 11, 2025)

  • Debt and transaction context 15%4

    Arm's-length, no distress reported, but one recorded price covers seven hotels plus a restaurant parcel with no public allocation (The Real Deal, Oct 25, 2026, from Cook County records).

    Band: 4 = Arm's-length, no distress, but the structure blurs the price signal: portfolio-allocated price, loan assumption or seller financing, earn-out or contingent consideration, partial-interest or JV recapitalization

    PressOct 25, 2026 (opens source)

After the deal

Tracked separately. Not part of the grade.

  1. T0 · at announcement
    Oct 25, 2026
  2. T+1
    Lands Oct 2027
  3. T+2
    Lands Oct 2028
Sources (5)

Further reading

RLJ Midway-area portfolio (7 hotels) · Recent Deals · Bungah Capital Intel